Hold Your Fire! Will Israel’s Bombing Start an All-out War or Force Hizbollah Back from the Border?
Sep 25, 2024
Mairav Zonszein, an expert in Middle Eastern affairs, joins Heiko Wimmen and Michael Hanna, specialists in conflict resolution and regional stability, to discuss Israel's intense military actions against Hizbollah. They explore whether both sides can pull back from the brink of all-out war and analyze Israel's military strategies and Hizbollah’s communication challenges. The trio also assesses the U.S. role in the conflict, especially in light of upcoming elections, and the complexities involved in navigating ceasefire negotiations in Gaza.
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Shift in Israeli War Goals
- Israel shifted its war goals to include the return of displaced northern residents.
- This shift, coupled with Hezbollah's limited retaliation, emboldened Israel's escalation.
Hezbollah's Dilemma
- Hezbollah is in a difficult position, facing pressure to respond to Israeli attacks.
- Their delayed response could be strategic, aiming to exploit enemy weaknesses.
Hezbollah's Restraint and Capabilities
- Hezbollah faces a dilemma, possessing advanced weaponry but hesitant to trigger all-out war.
- Their restraint raises questions about their response capabilities.