Luck rules our lives, so why don’t we teach more about it?
Feb 14, 2025
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Nicholas Rush Smith, Director of the Master’s Program in International Affairs at The City College of New York, discusses the power of luck in shaping our lives. He explores how play-based learning can revolutionize education, especially in political science and international relations. The conversation highlights the role of simulations in understanding complex systems, the crucial lessons learned through losing, and how dopamine enhances the learning experience. Smith also tackles how educational methods must adapt to address global challenges like climate change.
The podcast emphasizes the importance of incorporating play-based learning to teach students about luck and adaptability in complex international environments.
Utilizing simulations in education helps students grasp the intricacies of decision-making and market dynamics, fostering emotional engagement and strategic thinking.
Deep dives
The Role of Luck in Decision-Making
Luck, chance, and fate play a significant role in shaping decisions and outcomes in both personal and professional arenas. The discussion highlights how people often construct narratives to make sense of their experiences, despite the unpredictable nature of reality. In the context of international relations and technology, the podcast emphasizes the need for a new generation to acknowledge the influence of luck in their strategic thinking. Training young professionals to embrace uncertainty and adapt to unexpected changes is crucial in navigating complex international environments.
Learning through Game Simulation
Game simulations provide a unique platform for exploring economic dynamics and decision-making within competitive environments, exemplified by the experience shared regarding a risk game focused on China's electric vehicle market. The participant described an initial struggle followed by a comeback through strategic partnerships, illustrating how early decisions can lead to path dependency and long-term consequences. The podcast underscores the importance of understanding market conditions and learning from initial mistakes to adapt and succeed. This experiential learning approach highlights the educational value of games in fostering strategic thinking and emotional engagement.
The Complexities of International Relations Education
Teaching international relations requires integrating various perspectives and understanding the intricate behaviors of actors within global systems. The podcast discusses the need for adaptive curricula that respond to current technological advancements, such as AI and governance, which are reshaping the geopolitical landscape. Engaging students in emotionally charged simulations can help them grasp the complexity of international dynamics beyond traditional educational methods. This approach ensures that graduates are prepared to navigate ambiguous situations and leverage emerging technologies effectively in their careers.
The Impact of AI and Emerging Technologies
The emergence of AI and other technologies is influencing how students perceive their future roles in international relations, prompting educational institutions to adapt their offerings accordingly. The inclusion of AI-focused courses in academic programs highlights a shift toward preparing students for contemporary challenges they will face in the workplace. However, there remains a challenge in balancing the use of AI tools, such as ChatGPT, with the essential skills of critical writing and communication. The discussion reflects on the necessity for future professionals to articulate their ideas efficiently, emphasizing that effective communication will remain a core skill regardless of technological advancements.
Cruel, petty and occasionally magnanimous, fates rule our lives, determining everything from our careers and romances to our financial success. Despite a burgeoning academic literature studying luck and the occasional theoretical probabilist complaining about Bayesian statistics, we haven’t brought the chance of chaotic complex systems into the classroom, and that’s particularly true in political science and international relations. That should change, and play-based learning offer new forms of education for future generations.
Joining host Danny Crichton and Riskgaming director of programming Laurence Pevsner is Nicholas Rush Smith, director of the Master’s Program in International Affairs at The City College of New York and its Graduate Center. His students graduate into plum assignments across international organizations like the United Nations, and he has been increasingly utilizing simulations and experiential learning to transform how future international civil servants learn their craft.
We talk about Nick’s recent experience playing “Powering Up,” our Riskgaming scenario focused on China’s electric vehicle market. Then we talk about the power of play, how dopamine affects the learning cycle, why losing is the best education for winning, David Graeber’s ideas around the balance between rules and play, and finally, how play-based learning can teach principles used in even the most bureaucratic institutions like the United Nations and the U.S. Army.