Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: January 15th, 2026

Jan 15, 2026
Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, breaks down the complexities of the labor market and discusses how wage growth is uneven across income levels. French Hill, U.S. Congressman, delves into financial regulation and cautions against credit market risks posed by proposed caps. Lastly, Terry Haynes provides insights on U.S. foreign policy, comparing strategies in Iran and Venezuela, while stressing the importance of clear messaging for congressional support. This dynamic trio navigates crucial economic and geopolitical issues shaping today's landscape.
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INSIGHT

Labor Market Tightness Hidden By Modest Job Gains

  • The labor market is tighter than headline job gains suggest, driven by robust wage growth.
  • Employers pay more to retain workers, raising costs despite few hires or layoffs.
INSIGHT

Wages Reveal The Real Labor Story

  • Wage growth for stayers and changers tells a fuller story than monthly job counts.
  • ADP finds stayers' pay rose ~4.4% and changers' pay ~6.6% across 2025, signaling sticky labor costs.
INSIGHT

Perception Versus Economic Reality

  • Perception diverges from reality: macro indicators look strong while consumer sentiment is sour.
  • This gap helps explain why policymakers and markets see conflicting signals in 2026.
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