HousingWire Daily

Logan Mohtashami grades the spring housing market

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May 12, 2025
Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst renowned for his sharp insights into the housing market, joins to discuss the surprising resilience of the spring housing market. He highlights a notable rise in mortgage applications and a return to pre-pandemic inventory levels. The conversation also delves into potential economic uncertainties, analyzing the impacts of mortgage spreads and trade tariffs. Despite challenges, Mohtashami maintains an optimistic outlook, encouraging data-driven decisions for navigating this evolving landscape.
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INSIGHT

Strong Spring Housing Market

  • The spring housing market deserves an A grade for healthy inventory growth and price growth cooling down.
  • Positive purchase application data and minimal demand response to rate decreases show resilience despite challenges.
INSIGHT

Unexpected Housing Resilience

  • Purchase applications showed 14 straight weeks of positive year-over growth despite high rates and global challenges.
  • Inventory is back to 2019 levels in some states, helping stabilize the market and offering buyers more choices.
INSIGHT

Trade Wars and Recession Risks

  • Trade wars and tariffs are wild cards that could trigger recession risks, but timely deal-making may mitigate impacts.
  • Household employment and balance sheets remain strong, providing some cushion against economic shocks.
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