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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #414 Louis Vincent Gave: Party Like it’s 1999

Feb 8, 2024
Louis-Vincent Gave, Founder of Gavekal, joins Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna on Macro Voices to discuss commodities, China, the Electric Vehicle Implosion, and why Louis says this feels like 1999 all over again.
01:09:19

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • China's dominance in the EV supply chain could have significant geopolitical implications and impact global market dynamics.
  • The US energy advantage is vulnerable, and China's progress in nuclear power could enable it to become a global leader in low-cost energy, potentially shifting market cap dominance.

Deep dives

China, Electric Vehicle Implosion, and 1999 Parallels

In this podcast episode, the interviewee Louis Vincent Gav discusses the current state of China's economy, the potential implosion of the electric vehicle market, and the similarities he sees between the current market conditions and the dot-com bubble of 1999. Gav highlights China's dominance in the EV supply chain and the potential geopolitical implications of China's control over the auto industry. He also suggests that the demand for electric cars may be overestimated due to issues such as repair costs, limited cold weather performance, and depreciation. Gav further discusses the impact of China's focus on green technology on global commodity markets, particularly battery metals like copper and nickel. He emphasizes the potential for a strong demand for commodities driven by infrastructure spending and consumption in emerging markets, particularly in the EMX China space. Lastly, Gav touches on China's role in the global energy transition and its ability to provide cheap energy to other countries, thus gaining geopolitical leverage.

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