Daniel Davis Deep Dive Navy Combat Vet: What Trump's 'Massive Armada' to Iran Can Do /Steve Jermy & Lt Col Daniel Davis
Jan 30, 2026
Steve Jermy, retired Royal Navy commodore and naval combat veteran, breaks down what a US task force can realistically achieve against Iran. He assesses short intense strike capacity, missile and resupply limits, Iranian anti-ship and air-defense threats, and regional escalation risks. The conversation contrasts geography and sustainment challenges and why long campaigns are hard to maintain.
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Midnight Hammer Was Largely Presentational
- Operation Midnight Hammer looked like a presentational attack rather than full destruction of Iranian targets.
- Steve Jermy believes no American aircraft penetrated Iranian airspace and the strike was cautious to avoid losing aircraft.
Iran's Winning Condition Is Survival
- Iran's realistic objective is survival and making attacks costly, not defeating the U.S. outright.
- Prolonging resistance can erode American political will and reduce the value of a short bombardment.
One Carrier Group = Short, Intense Campaign
- A single carrier strike group can inflict significant short-term damage but lacks the sustainment for extended campaigns.
- Jermy estimates the deployed force might sustain only a few days of heavy strikes before exhausting key missile stocks.