The Money Advice No One Ever Told Us From Your Rich BFF
Dec 4, 2023
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Vivian Tu, one of the most followed Fin-fluencers on social media, shares personal finance and wealth building secrets. Topics include the speculation on Fed rates, momentum in the stock market, mindset change needed to build wealth, making generous purchases, choosing a lucrative side hustle, and the difference between being rich and being wealthy.
The stock market had significant gains in November, with the S&P and NASDAQ experiencing their best monthly performances since July 2022, while bond yields cooled and fixed income investments thrived.
Despite optimism about the possibility of the Fed cutting rates, Fidelity's Jurian Timmer warns that historically, transitions from rate hikes to a 'soft landing' strategy have often led to significant market downturns, suggesting potential risks to the stock market and overall economy.
Deep dives
Market Highlights: Stocks Rally, Inflation Abates
The stock market experienced significant gains in November, with the S&P and NASDAQ rallying 8.9% and 10.7% respectively, marking their best monthly performances since July 2022. Bond yields cooled, sparking a strong month for fixed income investments. Risk appetite returned, as investors believed that the Fed may cut rates earlier than expected, despite Fed Chair Jay Powell stating otherwise.
The Fed's Soft Landing Challenge
While many investors are optimistic about the possibility of the Fed cutting rates, Fidelity's Jurian Timmer provides a cautionary note. Historically, when the Fed transitions from raising rates to implementing a 'soft landing' strategy, equity markets have experienced significant downturns. While the current economic landscape may differ, the uncertainty of rate cuts could pose risks to the stock market and overall economy.
The Momentum Continues for Stocks
Despite potential risks, the stock market's upward momentum may continue. The S&P 500 has not seen a decline of 0.25% or more in the past 14 days, suggesting that the current rally could persist. Additionally, institutional investors are buying stocks at the fastest pace in two years, indicating a belief in continued market growth.
Expectations for Better Earnings in 2024
Analysts forecast that the S&P 500 will report the highest annual earnings per share since 1996, with an estimate of $246.30 for 2024. However, it is crucial to recognize that several factors need to align for these expectations to be realized. While the outlook for better earnings is optimistic, it is important to maintain perspective and manage expectations.
Vivian Tu, aka Your Rich BFF, joins The Express to talk about how she became one of the most followed Fin-fluencers on social media, and shares the personal finance and wealth building secrets no one ever bothered tell us. Her new book, “Rich AF, The Winning Money Mindset that Will Change Your Life”, is full of those tips, and available for order now. Plus, investors are going to miss November which was just as sweet for bond investors as it was for stock bulls. Should we be curbing our enthusiasm about the Fed possibly cutting rates sooner than expected?