Disorder Ep4. Who is leading the disorder?
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Sep 26, 2023 Stephanie Williams, former Deputy Special Representative for Political Affairs at UNSMIL, discusses Libya's ongoing chaos and its broader geopolitical implications. She highlights how internal disorder in Libya affects neighboring regions and the challenge of attaining global leadership support for democratic processes. The conversation also touches on the complexities of engaging armed actors and the detrimental effects of foreign interventions from countries like Turkey and the UAE, which further complicate the quest for stability.
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Haftar's Disruption of Libya Peace Effort
- Stephanie Williams described a major peacebuilding event in Libya that was disrupted by General Khalifa Haftar's surprise attack on Tripoli.
- Behind the scenes, some Security Council members secretly supported Haftar despite publicly recognizing the Tripoli government.
Libya as Microcosm of Global Disorder
- Libya's ongoing conflict is a microcosm of global disorder marked by fractured international coordination and competing foreign backers.
- International incoherence empowers local disruptors who undermine peace efforts and regional stability.
Ordering vs Disorder in Global Politics
- Global disorder is better analyzed by categorizing countries as "orderers" or "disorderers" rather than just democracy versus autocracy.
- Medium powers like Iran can be major disorderers despite their size, while small states can be effective orderers.
