Trading Market Turmoil: Any System is Better than No System | OPM Trader Talks with Petr Pinkhasov of Anthem Capital Management
Apr 1, 2025
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Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, shares his expertise on trading strategies that blend quantitative signals with technical analysis. He discusses the impact of recent market volatility and the importance of systematic trading over intuition. Petr emphasizes risk management, the insights gained from DeMark indicators, and the integration of AI tools like Fintool in investment research. His philosophy highlights adaptability in fluctuating markets while maintaining a balance between personal conviction and investor relationships.
Establishing a systematic trading framework is crucial, as it helps traders make informed decisions rather than relying on instinct alone.
The importance of adapting trading strategies based on market dynamics underscores the need for disciplined risk management amidst volatility.
Deep dives
Understanding Market Dynamics
The speaker likens interpreting market data without a systematic approach to viewing prices in black and white, emphasizing that any structured method is superior to making decisions based on intuition alone. This perspective underlines the necessity for traders to develop frameworks that guide their decision-making processes rather than relying solely on gut feelings, which can lead to erratic outcomes similar to coin flipping. By adopting methods that incorporate market technicals and narratives, traders can gain a more nuanced understanding of market fluctuations and make well-informed decisions. A practical example highlighted is the use of indicators like the DeMark, which adds depth to price analytics and assists traders in identifying potential market reversals.
Trading Philosophy and Strategy
The discussion emphasizes the evolution of trading philosophy from technical and short-term focus to valuing strategic viewpoints backed by robust risk management. The speaker articulates the importance of formulating an opinion based on market dynamics, allowing for flexibility to adjust views as new information emerges. A differentiation is made between day trading and longer-term strategies that capitalize on discrepancies between price movements and market narratives, showcasing the relevance of maintaining a balance between assertive trading and calculated risk. The sweet spot for many traders involves identifying misalignments in price versus narrative, particularly in volatile markets such as interest rates.
Navigating Market Uncertainty
When facing market drawdowns, the speaker stresses the importance of a composed and objective reassessment of positions, focusing on the factors at play rather than succumbing to panic. This method entails reducing positions in underperforming assets while considering market conditions that may favor future opportunities. Acknowledging that incorrect trades can lead to significant stress, establishing a disciplined approach allows traders to make informed decisions while managing exposure effectively. The ability to adjust positions based on changing market sentiments, rather than fixation on losses, is pivotal for achieving long-term success in trading.
The Role of Technical Analysis
The speaker provides a critical look at technical analysis, likening its varied interpretations within the trading community to astrology, with some traders finding value in it while others dismiss it as ineffective. A key point made is the utility of tools like the DeMark indicators, suggesting that they serve more as guides to understanding market behaviors rather than definitive signals for action. Although there may not be universal agreement on the effectiveness of technical indicators, successful traders often integrate them into their strategies to aid in risk management and execution. Ultimately, the discussion posits that developing a strong, quantitative foundation can enhance one’s approach to market analysis, but it should be complemented by insight and experience.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoiland rotations.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
Follow Petr on X: https://x.com/pinkhasov
Follow Other People’s Money on:
Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M
Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi
YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR
X https://x.com/opmpod
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