Bangladesh Crisis: How it unfolded and what it means for India
Aug 8, 2024
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Shubhajit Roy, a Diplomatic Affairs Editor at Indian Express, provides keen insights into the recent crisis in Bangladesh. He unpacks the protests triggered by a controversial job quota system and the intense public backlash against the Hasina government. The discussion covers the military's pivotal role in advising the Prime Minister to seek refuge in India and examines the implications for India-Bangladesh relations. Roy also highlights the economic growth of Bangladesh amidst this political upheaval, pointing to the complex interplay between governance and public sentiment.
The violent protests in Bangladesh, driven by dissatisfaction with the controversial job quota system, reflect deep-seated frustrations among the youth and students.
Sheikh Hasina's resignation and flight to India signal a significant political shift, posing challenges for India in managing future diplomatic relations with Bangladesh.
Deep dives
Political Unrest in Bangladesh
Recent protests in Bangladesh have escalated into significant political unrest, culminating in the Prime Minister's departure from the country after violent clashes. Over 100 people were reportedly killed in just one day as citizens defied curfews to call for change. The protests were driven by frustrations over a government quota system that many felt benefited politically connected families, specifically those of freedom fighters from the country's independence struggle. This situation reflects widespread discontent among the younger population, particularly students, who have been vocal about their demands for equal opportunities.
The Rise and Fall of Sheikh Hasina
Sheikh Hasina's tenure as Prime Minister has been marked by both economic growth and increasing authoritarianism. Under her leadership, Bangladesh experienced significant advancements in its garment industry and stable governance, transitioning from a country once deemed a 'basket case' to one with potential economic parity with India by 2026. However, her increasingly repressive tactics, including crackdowns on opposition and dissent, triggered resentment and unrest among the populace, leading to her abrupt exit. This marked the first time a democratically elected Bangladeshi leader had to flee due to protests, indicating a pivotal shift in the country's political landscape.
Implications for India and Regional Stability
India's diplomatic position may become precarious as it navigates the aftermath of Hasina's departure, given the historical ties the country had with her government. With a potential shift in political power towards opposition parties that may view India unfavorably, there could be rising anti-India sentiment among the Bangladeshi populace. Additionally, concerns arise regarding the influence of countries such as China and Pakistan that might exploit the situation. India's challenge lies in maintaining cordial relations with whichever government emerges, ensuring regional stability while addressing its own geopolitical interests.
Over the past few weeks, Bangladesh has witnessed an unprecedented crisis that culminated on Monday when the death toll of those protesting the controversial job quota system exceeded 300. As the protests surged that day, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina resigned and fled to India due to concerns for her safety.
In this episode, Indian Express’ Diplomatic Affairs Editor Shubhajit Roy joins us to discuss what led to these protests, how the Hasina government reacted, and the challenges that Hasina’s resignation and her taking refuge in India pose for New Delhi.
Hosted, written, and produced by Shashank Bhargava Edited and mixed by Suresh Pawar
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