ChinaTalk EMERGENCY POD: DeepSeek R1 and the Future of AI Competition with Miles Brundage
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Jan 24, 2025 Miles Brundage, an AI policy expert previously at OpenAI, dives into the implications of the DeepSeek R1 model on global AI dynamics. He critiques prevailing misconceptions around DeepSeek's capabilities and addresses the challenges of export controls that affect AI innovation. Brundage underscores the necessity of computational resources for progress in AI, drawing parallels to historical leaps in science. He also discusses the delicate balance between national security and technological advancement, highlighting the risks associated with uncontrolled AI evolution.
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R1's Reasoning Ability and US-China AI Gap
- DeepSeek's R1 model, similar to OpenAI's O1, demonstrates advanced reasoning abilities.
- Notably, R1's rapid development after O1 suggests a narrowing gap between US and Chinese AI capabilities.
Reasoning Models in Early Stages
- Current reasoning models, like R1, are still in early stages of development, similar to GPT-2's initial phase.
- While capable, these models represent a starting point with significant room for improvement and scaling.
Miles Brundage's Experience with O1 and R1
- Miles Brundage wasn't surprised by DeepSeek's R1 because of his OpenAI experience with O1.
- He had argued that O1's success stemmed from reinforcement learning, not complex techniques, and DeepSeek's R1 further validates this idea.