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NAB Morning Call

Crises ignored

Dec 3, 2024
Skye Masters, a market economist and strategist at NAB, delves into the intricate dynamics of global markets amidst significant geopolitical events. She explores how the recent martial law in Korea and France's political instability have surprisingly left the markets largely unshaken. Masters also discusses the implications of US employment trends and expected monetary policy shifts by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, she touches on Australia's latest GDP data, linking government policies to public sector growth and examining its broader economic impact.
14:27

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Quick takeaways

  • Recent geopolitical events, particularly in South Korea and France, have not significantly impacted market stability, indicating a focus on monetary policy instead.
  • The anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December aligns with stable job growth signs, despite a gradual easing in the job market.

Deep dives

Political Instability in South Korea and France

Recent political developments in South Korea involve the imposition and subsequent repeal of martial law, raising questions about the president's future. This situation has sparked protests and could potentially threaten the president's leadership. Meanwhile, France is facing a no-confidence vote, with the government hoping to survive the challenge. Despite these significant geopolitical events, financial markets have remained relatively stable, showing a muted reaction which suggests a greater focus on monetary policies rather than political upheaval.

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