How to Predict the Future (Same as Ever by Morgan Housel)
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Nov 10, 2023
In this podcast, topics covered include how to predict the future, the importance of investing in preparedness, the power of storytelling in bestselling books, the dangers of rapid growth, maintaining a competitive advantage, and thought-provoking questions for introspection.
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Focus on the Unchanging
Focus on unchanging aspects for long-term success, like Amazon's focus on low prices and fast shipping.
Readwise is my favorite reading tool. I use it to automatically extract my highlights from physical books, and I use their Reader to read and highlight everything I find online.
Then they automatically organize all of my notes and send them directly to my note-taking tool, so I can immediately look up anything I loved in past books I read.
It’s a total game changer for getting the most out of every book you read, and if you love books, you need to be using it.
Timestamps
[00:00] How to Predict the Future [01:57] Risk is What You Don’t See [03:53] People Want Certainty, not Accuracy [07:31] Storytelling is a Superpower [11:06] Calm Times Create Crazy Times [13:19] Don’t Go Too Fast [16:27] More Stress Is Good [17:56] Good News Happens Slowly [19:48] How to Be a Rational Optimist [21:16] Perfection Makes You Fragile [23:10] It’s Supposed to Be Hard [25:04] Don’t Quit When You’re Ahead [26:05] Questions to Ask Yourself
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Nat's Notes