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HousingWire Daily

Logan Mohtashami on the surprising growth in existing home sales

Mar 21, 2025
In a fascinating discussion, Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst known for his insights on the housing market, dives into the unexpected rise in existing home sales. He discusses the ongoing tug-of-war between the White House and the Federal Reserve over mortgage rates. Logan highlights how lower mortgage rates could spark a surge in home sales and examines consumer sentiment amid economic uncertainties. His analysis reveals a cautious optimism about market stability, stressing the importance of interpreting economic indicators for future growth.
25:32

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Lower mortgage rates significantly enhance builder confidence and home sales, countering rising construction costs and tariff-related concerns.
  • The ongoing tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve over mortgage rates highlights the complexities of economic management in housing finance.

Deep dives

The Impact of Mortgage Rates on Home Sales

Lower mortgage rates are crucial for boosting builder confidence and home sales, especially in a market plagued by tariff concerns and rising construction costs. When mortgage rates decrease, builders are more likely to sell homes, as they can maintain their profit margins despite higher material expenses. Historical data shows that even amidst chaotic economic conditions, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, low mortgage rates incentivize buyers to purchase homes, leading to a surge in sales. As home sales have remained depressed, even a slight drop in rates can lead to significant increases in demand, making the prospect of lower mortgage rates appealing for the housing market.

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