When the Facts Change cover image

When the Facts Change

Mortgage rates, braking and accelerating

Feb 27, 2025
In this insightful discussion, Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist at Kiwibank, delves into New Zealand's precarious economic situation. He debates whether the Reserve Bank should accelerate monetary policy shifts amidst recession recovery. Kerr highlights the challenges of rising mortgage rates and local funding needs while addressing the impacts of cash rate cuts on housing and inflation. He also shares optimism about emerging consumer spending trends and the potential for a positive economic turnaround despite global uncertainties.
31:55

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has adjusted its monetary policy in response to recessionary pressures, recently signaling interest rate cuts to stimulate economic recovery.
  • Inflation challenges remain, influenced by external factors like government charges and global tariffs, complicating the Bank's ability to manage sustainable growth.

Deep dives

Understanding the Reserve Bank's Actions

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has faced significant challenges in managing the economy, particularly in a rapidly changing environment. Recently, the Bank struggled to gauge the economic pace, leading to a delayed response where interest rates were raised even as the economy entered a recession. As of late 2023, the Reserve Bank began to cut interest rates from 3.75%, signaling an urgent need for economic stimulation rather than restriction. The discussion centers on whether a further reduction below 3% is necessary, as the economy continues to need support to recover from a deep recession.

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