Anastasiia Lapatina and Eric Ciaramella discuss the recent events in Ukraine, including Russian attacks on civilian infrastructure, diplomatic maneuverings, challenges in resolving the conflict, internal struggles in Ukraine, and the analysis of the aid package.
Allied effort needed to coordinate aid for Ukraine's security amidst ongoing conflict with Russia.
Perceived insufficient Western aid may hinder Ukraine's capability to defend territory against Russian advances.
Deep dives
Importance of Scalable Security Solution for Ukraine
Ukraine's ongoing conflict with Russia reflects the need for a comprehensive Allied effort to coordinate aid and training, ensuring Ukraine's security. While Ukraine aims to build its military capacity for a potential offensive, Western commitments aim to deter Russian aggression, shaping a long-term security framework.
Challenges of Western Aid to Ukraine
Despite significant aid pledges from the West, the $62 billion package falls short of Ukrainian expectations to effectively combat Russian advances. The delay in aid delivery has hindered Ukraine's ability to defend its territory, leading to frustration about perceived insufficient aid from the US.
Misconceptions Surrounding Western Aid to Ukraine
A growing perception in Ukraine suggests that Western aid, while intended to assist in the conflict with Russia, may not prioritize Ukraine's victory. Ukrainians question the adequacy of aid packages, expressing concerns that aid amounts may not be sufficient to decisively defeat Russia or prevent territorial losses.
Strategic Implications of Aid and Military Capability in Ukraine
Amidst discussions on long-term security commitments, including NATO's involvement and Western support, a strategic focus emerges on establishing a strong deterrent capacity to dissuade further Russian aggression. The Ukraine Compact and increased military supplies indicate efforts to fortify Ukraine's position and prevent future conflicts.
Over the last two weeks, the Russians have bombed a children’s hospital in Kyiv, Hungarian leader Viktor Orbán has been on an international peace mission, the NATO summit has taken place in Washington, and Ukrainian forces have continued to struggle to hold territory. To go over a busy few weeks, Lawfare Editor-in-Chief Benjamin Wittes sat down with Anastasiia Lapatina, Lawfare’s Kyiv fellow, and Eric Ciaramella of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.