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The Truth of the Matter
Intelligence and Subversion in Ukraine
Mar 7, 2025
Seth Jones, Director of the CSIS Defense and Security Department, sheds light on the ramifications of halting U.S. intelligence sharing with Ukraine amid its conflict with Russia. He discusses the potential impact on Ukraine’s military operations and explores whether European nations can fill the intelligence gap. The conversation also dives into the implications of the recent Trump-Zelensky meeting for minerals deals and U.S. security guarantees. Additionally, the episode touches on Russia's subversive tactics in Europe, including political manipulation and shocking assassination plots.
21:54
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Quick takeaways
- The pause in U.S. intelligence sharing with Ukraine is expected to significantly diminish their battlefield effectiveness against Russian forces.
- The historical insufficiency of security guarantees under the Budapest memorandum highlights the critical need for robust support to stabilize Ukraine amidst ongoing tensions.
Deep dives
Impact of Pausing Intelligence Support to Ukraine
The recent decision by the U.S. to pause intelligence support to Ukraine is expected to severely affect the Ukrainian battlefield capabilities. U.S. intelligence has played a critical role in helping Ukraine target Russian forces by providing information on military units and logistics. This gap in support may leave Ukrainian operatives at a disadvantage, as they rely heavily on the advanced intelligence capabilities of the U.S. Although some European countries may step in to fill the void, it is unlikely they can match the breadth of U.S. intelligence resources, particularly given current battlefield conditions.
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Discover
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode