Many Happy Returns

Markets Are Quiet. Too Quiet.

Jun 7, 2023

37:19

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Episode notes

Introduction

2min

The Markets Look Through the Debt Ceiling

2min

The Fear of the S&P 500

2min

Bond Volatility Is Lower Than It Was in March

2min

The Fed's Hiking and the Market's Tightness

2min

The US's Net Debt Issue

2min

The Fed's Reverse Repo Yield Is Dominating US Treasuries

2min

The Dangers of Treasury Yields

2min

Morgan Stanley's Bearish View on the US Debt Ceiling

2min

10.

The Future of the US Treasury Market

2min

11.

How to Fabricate a Rally When Fundamentals Are Getting Worse

2min

12.

Laura's Stock Picking

2min

13.

The Importance of Macro Uncertainty

2min

14.

The Importance of Uncertainty

2min

15.

The Uncertainty Index

2min

16.

The Probability of a Rally in the S&P 500 Index

2min

17.

How Do Minimum Volatility Funds Work?

2min

18.

How to Buy a Minimum Volatility Fund

2min

19.

How to Invest in a Low Volatility Fund

3min

Markets are eerily calm. Stock volatility is low, and the Vix fear gauge has plunged to pre-pandemic levels. But is this the quiet before the storm?

With the US debt ceiling now resolved, some fear that replenishing the Treasury’s coffers could rattle the serenity of markets. Others fret about heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. So are markets too complacent?

And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: How do minimum volatility funds work? And do they work?

Selected links

Certainly Uncertain - AQR Capital Management

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Disclaimer

This podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes and is not financial advice. We do not provide recommendations or endorse any decision to buy, sell or hold any security. We cannot be held responsible for any actions listeners may take and investors are encouraged to seek independent financial advice.