UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 42)

Aug 6, 2025
Burkhard Varnholt, a seasoned veteran in finance and market analysis, dives deep into pressing issues like ongoing tariff negotiations and the latest US payroll data. He shares insights on the challenges facing the healthcare sector, particularly in light of rising tariffs. Varnholt also discusses leadership shifts at the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve, reinforcing how these changes impact the labor market. To lighten the mood, he recounts highlights from his recent cycling adventure through picturesque Denmark.
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ANECDOTE

Cycling Insights from Denmark

  • Burkhard Varnholt shared his observations from a cycling trip through Denmark, highlighting its beauty and vibrant light especially in summer.
  • He noted Denmark's economic success and challenges faced by companies like Novo Nordisk amid valuation drops.
INSIGHT

Productivity Offsets Tariffs Impact

  • Despite tariff pressures, many US companies are passing increased import costs to customers by enhancing productivity.
  • This productivity-driven resilience underlies the positive long-term market outlook and supports the high S&P 500 earnings forecast.
INSIGHT

Healthcare Sector's Mixed Outlook

  • The healthcare sector faces growth opportunities due to demographics but short-term pressures from tariffs and cost optimization efforts.
  • Valuations are historically low, partly due to troubles in major companies like Novo Nordisk, reflecting sector promise and peril.
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