China’s Rise in the Middle East and the Israel-Hamas Conflict: A Conversation with Dr. Dawn Murphy
Nov 8, 2023
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Dr. Dawn Murphy discusses China's engagement with the Middle East and its efforts to build an alternative world order in the region. She explains China's motives, its relationship with Israel, and its approach to the Israel-Hamas conflict. Despite its growing influence, China is not actively seeking to end the conflict. China benefits from a stable Middle East, and there is potential for US-China common ground.
China's engagement with the Middle East is driven by access to resources and markets, while also seeking support for its position in global organizations and safeguarding its citizens and businesses in the region.
China maintains a balanced approach in the Middle East, with stronger relations focused on leading regional powers like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Iran, and Turkey, while also advocating for peaceful negotiations and a two-state solution in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Deep dives
China's Goals and Interests in the Middle East
China's engagement with the global south, particularly the Middle East, is driven by several factors. The most important is access to resources and markets, which provides opportunities for Chinese businesses. China also aims to foster support for its position in global organizations, advocate for developing country causes, and safeguard its citizens and businesses in the region. Additionally, China seeks support from Middle Eastern and global south countries for its stance on Asian Pacific issues. These interests shape China's interactions in the Middle East.
The Importance of the Middle East to China
The Middle East holds significance for China, not only as a major source of resources, with over half of its oil imports coming from the region, but also due to its economic priorities aligning with those of countries in the Arab Gulf. China has a strategic focus on leading regional powers like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Iran, Egypt, and Turkey. While China seeks balanced relations with all Middle Eastern countries, it has directed more attention towards leading regional powers, particularly the Arab Gulf, due to their economic potential and cooperative projects.
China's Relations with Middle Eastern Countries
China's approach to Middle Eastern countries involves developing positive bilateral relations with every country in the region, while also engaging with multilateral institutions like the African Union, the League of Arab States, and the Gulf Cooperation Council. While maintaining a balanced stance, China has stronger relations with regional powers like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Iran, and Turkey. Their relations with Israel, although historically positive, differ from strategic partnerships due to concerns from Arab countries regarding the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Nonetheless, China establishes strategic partnerships with the League of Arab States, the African Union, and the Gulf Cooperation Council.
China's Approach to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
China's approach to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is historically Palestinian-leaning, with China supporting peaceful negotiations, a two-state solution, and end to violence, and the establishment of an international supervisory mechanism. While maintaining strong economic and political relations with Israel, China has been cautious in terms of strategic partnerships and has advocated for the Palestinian cause. However, China does not categorize the conflict through the lens of terrorism and does not label specific groups involved, such as Hamas, as terrorists. China's main objective is to prevent the conflict from escalating and to contribute to its resolution through diplomacy and international forums.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, we are joined by Dr. Dawn Murphy to discuss China’s engagement with the global south, particularly the Middle East. Murphy lays out drivers of China’s engagement with the Middle East, which includes securing access to resources and markets and obtaining support for PRC policies. At the same time, China is building an alternative order in the Middle East, deepening relations with regional actors across the board. She argues that Beijing’s approach towards the Israel-Hamas conflict is consistent with its prior positions on tensions in the region. She explains that despite China’s growing influence in the region, it is not clear Beijing believes it can or should do more to end the Israel-Hamas conflict aside from facilitating dialogue among regional stakeholders. Beijing is unlikely to use its leverage to pressure Iran or other actors. Finally, she notes that China benefits from a stable and peaceful Middle East and there is potential for the United States and China to find common ground. Washington should understand the limits of Beijing’s willingness to become involved.
Dr. Dawn Murphy is the author of the book “China’s Rise in the Global South: The Middle East, Africa, and Beijing’s Alternative World Order.” Dr. Murphy is an associate professor of National Security Strategy at the U.S. National War College. She specializes in Chinese foreign policy and domestic politics and U.S.-China relations. Her research analyzes China’s interests as a rising global power and its behavior towards the existing international order.
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