Dive into a lively discussion on the future of military tech, exploring the potential shift from manned platforms to uncrewed systems. The speakers dissect the role of drones in modern warfare, weighing their advantages against inherent limitations. They examine how precise mass could reshape strategies, highlighting the necessity for cultural innovation within military frameworks. Additionally, the conversation touches on the geopolitical maneuvers of Finland regarding undersea security and critiques on U.S. foreign economic policies that could impact global alliances.
The military must adapt its procurement strategies to integrate cheaper, uncrewed systems alongside traditional platforms for effective future operations.
Lessons from the Ukraine war highlight the importance of balancing precision and mass in military strategy, ensuring both offensive and defensive capabilities are maintained.
Deep dives
Incorporating New Technologies in Military Strategy
The discussion centers on the need for the military to adapt and incorporate new technologies, particularly uncrewed systems, into its operations. It is suggested that these systems can effectively complement existing capabilities by offering a strategic mix of quantity and precision, which contrasts with reliance on traditional manned platforms. A significant point made is that the era has shifted towards 'precise mass', where cheaper and more accurate tools can offset the limits of reliance on expensive systems. This transition is particularly highlighted through lessons learned from conflicts, such as the Ukraine-Russia war, where lower-cost systems have shown effectiveness.
Reassessing Military Procurement and Investment
The conversation emphasizes the importance of reevaluating military procurement strategies to include a balance between high-quality and mass capabilities. The analysis suggests that the current procurement system leans heavily towards large, traditional platforms, thus ignoring potential advancements in lower-cost solutions that could provide a tactical advantage. There’s a call for the U.S. to shift investments, allowing for more flexible resource allocation that includes cheaper, scalable technologies that can compete over time with expensive systems like the F-35. This change may require significant adjustments in acquisition strategies and a cultural shift within military organizations to embrace innovative solutions.
Lessons from the Ukraine Conflict
Various insights are drawn from the ongoing Ukraine war, where both precision and mass have played crucial roles in military success. The podcast discusses how these lessons can apply to future conflicts, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region, suggesting the necessity for a mixed approach that includes aerial and ground systems. It’s noted that while uncrewed systems have prompted a shift in strategy, they do not singularly dictate the outcome of conflicts, as traditional capabilities still hold significant value. The implications of this are profound, as military strategies must adapt to incorporate lessons learned without discounting established methods.
The Future of Military Doctrine and Defense
The conversation raises the question of whether current military doctrines adequately embrace advancements in technology while fostering a defensive posture alongside offensive capabilities. There's a growing concern that reliance on new technologies could lead to an overemphasis on offensive strategies, which may not always align with the defensive needs of allies. The potential for increased capabilities through precise mass systems could enhance allies' defensive operations, making them more effective. This underscores the necessity of developing a comprehensive military doctrine that fully exploits emerging technologies while still prioritizing the defense of established international orders.
Back from their holiday break, Chris, Melanie, and Zack discuss Michael Horowitz and Joshua Schwartz’s recent War on the Rocks’ article, which considers whether and how the United States and its allies should incorporate new technologies into their military forces. Is it time for cheap, uncrewed systems to replace larger, manned platforms? What is the optimal mix of high-end, exquisite systems, and low-end, attritable assets? And how should the Pentagon, NATO, and our other allies invest resources to be best situated for potential conflicts? President Joe Biden’s decision to block Nippon Steel’s planned purchase of U.S. Steel receives not one but two grievances. Chris complains about misinformed reactions to the tragic incidents on New Year’s Eve. Hearty attas to President-elect Donald Trump for suggesting that U.S. allies could build U.S. warships, to the National Security Archive at George Washington University, and to Finland for seizing the Russian ship suspected of cutting undersea cables (and for the Finns’ general seriousness on matters of national defense).