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Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes
Ceasefire in Lebanon
Nov 28, 2024
Julien Barnes-Dacey, director of ECFR's MENA programme and expert on Middle Eastern politics, shares keen insights on the nuanced ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. He discusses the motivations behind this agreement, highlighting Hezbollah's significant losses and external pressures. The conversation navigates the complex geopolitical landscape involving the US and France, the implications for Lebanese politics, and the uncertain future of the Gaza conflict. Barnes-Dacey’s analysis sheds light on the delicate balance of power and the potential for renewed tensions.
25:10
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Quick takeaways
- The recent ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, brokered after significant losses on both sides, signifies a strategic pause rather than a lasting resolution.
- Concerns about the ceasefire's enforcement and the potential for future conflicts highlight the volatile dynamics of the Middle East region and power balances.
Deep dives
Ceasefire Agreement Details
A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah has been agreed upon after intense negotiations, marking a significant moment after a long and deadly conflict. The terms stipulate that Hezbollah will retreat beyond the Latani River, while the deployment of Lebanese Army troops in southern Lebanon will be increased significantly. Moreover, Hezbollah must dismantle its military facilities and is prohibited from receiving new weapons. However, concerns persist over the enforcement of this ceasefire, especially in light of past violations and ongoing tensions within the region.
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode