Statecraft

One Year of Trump’s Economic Statecraft

12 snips
Jan 27, 2026
Arnab Datta, a policy implementation director focused on industrial policy; Peter Harrell, former White House international economics lead with sanctions and trade expertise; and Daleep Singh, economist and ex-deputy national security advisor for international economics. They trace Venezuela oil seizure, tariff strategy versus China, export controls, allied investment to counter China, and industrial policy tools like equity, loans, and market infrastructure.
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INSIGHT

Defining Economic Statecraft

  • Economic statecraft mixes punitive tools (sanctions, tariffs, export controls) and positive tools (investment, offtake, price floors).
  • Daleep Singh argues current policy overweights punitive tools versus strategic positive tools.
ANECDOTE

Venezuela As A New Statecraft Case

  • The Venezuela episode introduced a novel economic statecraft move: seizing leadership and controlling oil revenues.
  • Daleep Singh described this as an entirely different category of economic statecraft than prior practice.
INSIGHT

Why Sanctions Missed Venezuelan Oil

  • Sanctions failed to stop Venezuela and Iran from exporting oil because China built a 'dark fleet' and continued purchases.
  • Peter Harrell says Trump chose military seizures over pressing China economically to avoid blowing up a China trade deal.
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