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Probability as a Physical Theory
- Probability, as a scientific theory, aims to explain real-world physical events.
- However, real-world observations, like coin tosses, rarely match probabilistic predictions.
Misuse of Probability in Risk Assessment
- Media outlets often compare the risk of terror attacks to lightning strikes to downplay the former.
- However, this comparison ignores the crucial difference in intent between these two events.
Probability as a False Theory
- Probability theory, like the flat-earth theory, can be useful but ultimately false.
- False theories hinder true understanding of reality, especially when formulating natural laws.