Independent Thinking What does the Iran-Israel war mean for the region and the world?
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Jun 18, 2025 
In this insightful discussion, Sanam Vakil, a Middle East scholar at Chatham House, and Mohamed Baharoun, a Gulf expert, tackle the escalating Iran-Israel conflict. Vakil highlights the existential threats to Iran's leadership, particularly its nuclear ambitions, while Baharoun outlines the nuanced responses from Gulf states as tensions rise. They explore the possible diplomatic pathways to de-escalation and the broader implications for regional stability, military dynamics, and shifting alliances in today's geopolitical landscape.
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Iran Feels Existential Threat
- The Iran-Israel conflict aims to weaken Iran's leadership and military capabilities profoundly. - Iran views itself as David and Israel as Goliath, striving to prove its resilience despite vulnerabilities.
Israel’s Unified War Strategy
- Israel's declared goal is to degrade Iran's nuclear and ballistic programs significantly. - There is broad public support within Israel for confronting Iran despite internal societal divides.
Regional Allies in Survival Mode
- Iran's regional allies are uncertain and primarily focused on survival amid ongoing upheaval. - Traditional command structures like the IRGC have loosened, leading to a more horizontal resistance network.