
One Decision
What Would Victory Look Like for Putin?
Dec 21, 2023
Renowned Russia expert Dr. Fiona Hill discusses Putin's playbook and the implications of a Trump return as commander-in-chief. Topics include Putin's strategy in the conflict with Ukraine, Russia's desire for negotiation, and the psychological impact of treating the war as a victory. The chapter also explores the motives behind US isolationism and the Russian approach to grey warfare and information warfare techniques.
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Quick takeaways
- Putin seeks to recreate a powerful image of Russia and dominate Europe by emphasizing historical tensions and divisions.
- Putin aims to symbolically defeat Ukraine and secure gains through psychological operations, while seeing Trump's potential return as an opportunity in his favor.
Deep dives
Putin's Historical Patterns of Division and Separation
Putin has been observed to return to historical patterns of division and separation from the West, especially the UK, Europe, and the United States. Despite hopes of bridging the ideological divide after the collapse of the Soviet system, Putin has emphasized historical tensions and divisions. The example of the Danalov Monastery as a location for a banquet in Moscow signifies the projection of deep and historic Russian culture. This suggests that Putin is recreating a powerful image of Russia and seeking dominance in Europe.
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