GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution
The Age of Empire Strikes Back: Stephen Kotkin on Trump, Wrestling, and the Use of American Power | GoodFellows | Hoover Institution
Feb 14, 2025
Joining the conversation is Stephen Kotkin, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and expert on Soviet history. He dives into American power dynamics under Trump, exploring the impact of fiscal challenges like crippling debt and military readiness. Kotkin draws parallels with the decline of the British Empire while discussing geopolitical tensions, particularly with China over Taiwan. The dialogue also touches on the complexities of tariffs, political polarization, and the urgent need for effective governance amidst a shifting global landscape.
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Quick takeaways
- American power remains significant despite potential decline, driven by military, economic strength, and soft power since 1880.
- The shift in U.S. debt surpassing defense spending marks a crucial turning point for national security and global standing.
Deep dives
The State of American Power
American power is characterized as unprecedented in its historical context, with the U.S. contributing approximately 25% of global GDP and maintaining roughly 50% of global military capabilities since 1880. Despite discussions about potential decline, it is argued that America's influence remains significant due to its unique combination of military and soft power, innovation, and economic strength. The conversation posits that shifts in relative power are possible if another nation surpasses the U.S. on several dimensions, yet so far, American power has demonstrated resilience against various political changes. Ultimately, the key concern revolves around maintaining this power amid domestic and international challenges.
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