Excess Returns

Bigger Extremes, Better Returns | Cliff Asness on the "Less Efficient Market Hypothesis"

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Nov 20, 2024
Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management and a leading voice on market efficiency, dives into the intriguing concept of the 'Less Efficient Market Hypothesis.' He discusses how social media and constant connectivity might be fueling market extremes. Through humor and insight, Asness explores the implications of passive investing and its distortion of market dynamics. He advises on the importance of intuition in factor investing, inflation's effects on markets, and shares valuable tips for individual investors navigating today's volatile landscape.
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INSIGHT

Less Efficient Market Hypothesis

  • Markets might be becoming less efficient despite technological advancements, due to increased extremes.
  • These extremes create opportunities for rational investors, but also make it harder to stick to rational strategies.
ANECDOTE

Value Spread Chart and Duration

  • Cliff Asness discusses the value spread chart, highlighting its extreme movements during market bubbles.
  • He emphasizes that duration of underperformance is as crucial as magnitude, making it harder for investors to stay committed.
INSIGHT

Passive Investing's Impact

  • While passive investing's impact on market distortion might be overstated, it can loosen the tether to reality.
  • Cliff Asness argues that 100% passive investing would lead to market breakdown.
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