The Mining Pod | Bitcoin Mining News
2025 Bitcoin Hashrate Forecast w/ Valentin Rousseau
Apr 22, 2025
37:57
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Quick takeaways
- The forecast for Bitcoin's hashrate is influenced by public miners' performance, which affects overall network growth amid geopolitical challenges.
- Tariffs imposed in the U.S. may reduce Bitcoin's hashrate growth by 60 EH/s, highlighting the contrasting expansion dynamics between public and private miners.
Deep dives
Hash Rate Forecasting Methodology
The forecast for Bitcoin's hash rate through 2027 is primarily based on historical data and a comprehensive review of the industry's public miners. The 2025 outlook initially projected a hash rate of about 1,043 EH/s but was revised to approximately 989 EH/s due to factors like geopolitical instability and assumed miner performance. Key to this projection was analyzing the share of public miners within the network, which has seen a consistent mean of 30 to 40 percent over recent years, influencing future projections. Particularly, the performance metrics of public companies, such as Cypher and IREN, were factored in, highlighting the link between company expansion plans and overall network hash rate growth.
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