In this insightful conversation, economist Ermengarde Jabir from Moody’s Analytics analyzes shifting trends in the real estate market. She highlights the vulnerabilities in sectors such as commercial real estate, while shedding light on the surprising resilience of multifamily housing. Jabir discusses the impact of soaring interest rates, construction slowdowns, and changing housing preferences across generations. As she navigates the potential risks of inflation and recession, her insights offer valuable guidance for investors in these uncertain times.
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insights INSIGHT
Tariffs Raise Construction Costs
Tariffs increase raw material costs, causing developers to reconsider construction scale and location.
This pricing uncertainty affects multifamily housing projects already underway, risking higher costs and slowdowns.
insights INSIGHT
Multifamily Oversupply Skews Luxury
Most new multifamily construction targets high-end Class A apartments, causing oversupply.
Affordable Class B and C apartments remain scarce with very low vacancy rates.
question_answer ANECDOTE
Millennials Leaving Cities For Yards
Millennials still prefer suburbs and single-family homes as they start families.
They seek yards and good schools unavailable in dense urban apartments.
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What does Moody's Analytics have to say about shifting real estate market? Well not all sectors are moving in the same direction and telling the sam story. In this episode of The Real Wealth Show, Kathy Fettke is joined by Dr. Ermengarde Jabir, Economist at Moody’s Analytics, to uncover which areas of real estate are most vulnerable right now.
From commercial real estate delinquency risks to the surprising resilience of multifamily housing, Dr. Jabir breaks down the economic and policy forces shaping today’s housing landscape. Are there early warning signs of financial stress? Could we be heading toward a recession? And how are interest rates and construction slowdowns influencing investment strategies? Find out on this episode!
🎉 Bonus: Download your free PDF — Top 5 Cities to Invest In — to celebrate our 1500th episode of Real Estate News for Investors! http://www.Realwealth.com/1500 🎉 Topics Discussed:
00:00 Housing Market Sectors
01:17 Forces Impacting the Housing Market
08:32 Housing Supply
09:55 Migration and Single Family Homes
11:37 Boomers and Migration
14:10 Vulnerable Real Estate Sectors
18:58 Delinquencies
21:55 Cap Rates and Migratory Trends
23:40 Ermengarde's Predictions: Inflation and Recession Risk
DISCLAIMER The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. For more information, go to www.RealWealthShow.com