The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence cover image

The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence

TCW Expects Private Debt ‘Accidents’ as Stress Builds

May 9, 2024
Portfolio manager Jerry Cudzil from TCW Group discusses rising private credit stress and potential defaults. He warns of accidents as documentation weakens and pay-in-kind deals increase. TCW is underweight in corporate credit but finds opportunities in CLOs and agency mortgages.
36:27

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Private credit stress will increase, causing losses and volatility for investors.
  • Concerns about consumer health and potential defaults in private credit portfolios.

Deep dives

The Bullishness in Credit Markets

Credit markets are experiencing a bullish trend with government bond yields decreasing, debt spreads tightening, and record levels of bond and loan issuance. Despite the optimism, there are concerns about complacency and potential risks from various factors like commercial real estate, war, geopolitics, and elections.

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