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Lockdowns Showed No Clear Benefit
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions like lockdowns and mask mandates showed no clear empirical effect on COVID outcomes in the US.
- States with longer or stricter measures did not have better death or morbidity rates before vaccines became available.
Europe's COVID Toll Linked to Vaccines
- Differences in COVID death rates across European countries do not correlate with lockdown stringency.
- Vaccine uptake predicts mortality differences better than NPIs in Europe.
Politics Drove Pandemic Measures
- Pre-COVID plans warned political leaders may enact costly interventions to appear decisive.
- Public health officials should have communicated uncertainties and broad costs but largely did not.