Moneyball Highlights: Author of "Who Makes The NBA?"
Mar 6, 2024
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Economist Seth Stephens-Davidowitz discusses using data and AI to analyze NBA analytics, including the concept of Muggsies and the impact of player height on performance. The podcast also explores the influence of height on college basketball success, examines clutch performance in the NBA, analyzes coaching effectiveness, and emphasizes team culture in basketball.
Height significantly influences NBA success, with each inch doubling chances of making it to the league.
Coaches play a crucial role in shaping player behavior and fostering team success over individual accomplishments.
Deep dives
Impact of Height in NBA Players and Choking Chapter
Height plays a significant role in NBA success, with each inch doubling a player's chances of making it to the NBA. Taller players have a much greater likelihood of reaching the league, with seven-footers having a one in seven chance. This importance of height is reflected in an analysis that normalized players' heights to evaluate their performance. Furthermore, the podcast explores the concept of choking in clutch moments, revealing that there is indeed a difference in performance under pressure, with some players showing a significant drop in crucial situations.
Clutch Shooting and Coaching Impact
The podcast delves into the analysis of clutch shooting in the NBA, which demonstrates that players tend to perform slightly worse in pressure situations, such as during playoff games. This finding challenges the notion of clutch performance in sports. Additionally, the discussion shifts to coaching impact, highlighting the significant role coaches play in getting players to prioritize team success over individual accomplishments. Coaches who can foster a team-oriented culture and encourage selfless play are viewed as particularly effective in maximizing team performance.
Coaching Analytics and Player Passing
The analysis also touches on the evolving field of coaching analytics in sports, emphasizing the need to measure coaching effectiveness beyond simple win percentages. By examining how coaches influence player behavior, specifically in terms of passing the ball when driving to the basket, a strong correlation between coaching success and players' passing tendencies is revealed. This underscores the importance of coaches in shaping player behaviors to enhance overall team performance.
Defining Coach Value and Factors Affecting Coaching Success
The podcast concludes by exploring the methodology used to assess coaches' value by controlling for factors like player talent and age. Certain legendary coaches, such as Phil Jackson and Greg Popovich, emerge as top performers based on coaching impact despite certain limitations in the analysis. The discussion also highlights the crucial role of coaches in promoting teamwork and selfless play among players, ultimately shaping the team's success beyond individual statistics.
Wharton's Cade Massey and Eric Bradlow speak with economist and author, Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, about NBA analytics, coding using AI, and his new book "Who Makes The NBA?"