

The Week in Markets: Sell in May and go away
May 6, 2025
Tune in for insights on the impact of recent elections on global markets. The discussion touches on how voter preferences for incumbents are shifting capital towards gold, European equities, and Chinese stocks. Historical trends favor a 'Sell in May' strategy, suggesting a reconsideration for risk-averse investors. With upcoming monetary policy decisions looming, market participants are in wait-and-see mode. It's a fascinating look at how geopolitical events shape investment strategies.
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Trump's Impact on US GDP
- Trump's policies caused the US GDP to decline by 0.3% in Q1 2025, a first since 2022.
- This drop was mainly due to front-loading imports before tariffs kicked in.
Trump Effect on Elections
- Trump's influence affected elections in Australia, Canada, and Singapore, favoring incumbents.
- Voters preferred stability amid chaos, benefiting incumbent parties significantly.
Market Reaction to Elections
- Market reactions to incumbent election wins are generally positive but muted.
- Smaller open economies see local election impacts that don't change overall markets drastically.