Arthur Hayes on Why Bitcoin Is Money and ETH Is a Shitcoin He Loves - Ep. 587
Dec 29, 2023
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Crypto OG Arthur Hayes shares insights on potential central bank money printing, upcoming bull run in crypto market, dynamics of Ethereum and memecoins, and why he believes Tether won't last. He also discusses the impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs, the collapse of FTX, and the post-FTX blockchain landscape.
Arthur Hayes predicts a shift in the global economic and political order towards China, Japan, and Germany challenging the US-centric model after World War II.
Bitcoin ETFs may lead to initial price hype, but the overall flow of money into ETFs might not be as significant as expected.
Hayes sees artificial intelligence (AI) and Bitcoin playing a pivotal role in the future of governance and economics, with Bitcoin representing pure monetary energy in its native language of computer code.
Deep dives
The Shift in the Global Economic and Political System
Arthur Hayes believes that the post-World War II economic and political order, with the US at the top, is coming to an end. He sees a shift towards a new arrangement where China, Japan, and Germany challenge the US-centric model. He also highlights the growing recognition and adoption of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as an escape from the deflating traditional financial system.
Bitcoin ETFs and the Future of Crypto Adoption
Hayes discusses the upcoming launch of Bitcoin ETFs and their impact on the crypto market. He suggests that while the initial hype could lead to a price increase, the overall flow of money into ETFs might not be as significant as people expect. Moreover, he emphasizes that the choice between investing in a Bitcoin ETF or holding physical Bitcoin depends on one's goals: either earning more fiat currency or seeking financial freedom outside the traditional financial system.
The Intersection of AI and Crypto
Hayes believes that artificial intelligence (AI) and crypto will play a major role in shaping the future of governance and economics. He sees AI as a neutral asset that can coexist with humans, potentially leading to a new form of governance. Hayes argues that as an AI, choosing Bitcoin as a currency makes sense because it represents pure monetary energy and can be exchanged in its native language of computer code.
US Court Rules Against Terraform Labs for Offering Unregistered Securities
A US court has ruled against Terraform Labs, finding them guilty of offering and selling unregistered securities. The court's decision comes amid allegations of a multi-billion dollar fraud by Terraform Labs. The case is set to go to trial in January 2024.
Barry Silbert Steps Down from Grayscale's Board Amid Regulatory Tensions
Digital Currency Group's CEO, Barry Silbert, has stepped down from the board of Grayscale, raising speculation about the company's independence amid ongoing regulatory investigations. Concerns have been raised about the allegations against DCG, and Silbert's departure may be aimed at bolstering Grayscale's prospects for an ETF approval.
As 2023 nears its end, the crypto community is abuzz with speculation: will the relentless crypto winter give way in 2024? Crypto OG Arthur Hayes is confident that crypto is on an upswing. According to Hayes, these market cycles are historically recurrent, indicating a potential bull run in the near future.
In this episode, Hayes offers his insights on a range of compelling topics, from what he believes will be a resurgence of central bank money printing between 2024 and 2027 to the effect spot Bitcoin ETFs will have on crypto markets.
He also shares his views on the post-FTX blockchain landscape, the dynamics of Ethereum and memecoins, and why he thinks Tether won’t last.
Show highlights:
Why Arthur believes that central banks across the globe might resort to printing money again between 2024 and 2027
Why he's anticipating a bull run in the crypto market within the next year
Whether the financial system established post-World War II is on the verge of a breakdown
What Arthur recommends investors should do in the event of a spot Bitcoin ETF launch
Why he is confident that the launch of a Bitcoin ETF won't immediately lead to a massive surge in prices
How, according to Arthur, the collapse of FTX actually validated the resilience of the blockchain ecosystem
Whether the DCG crisis is likely to have a far-reaching impact on the crypto industry
Why Arthur maintains a bullish stance on ETH and the Ethereum ecosystem, despite labeling it a “shitcoin”
Whether he sees the use of the Bitcoin blockchain for trading memecoins (BRC-20s) as problematic
Why Arthur thinks Tether's dominance will be challenged with the entry of major U.S. banks into the stablecoin market
Why he firmly believes that AI systems will favor Bitcoin over traditional forms of money
Why, in Arthur's view, China may not aim to become the issuer of the global reserve currency
The investment strategy of Arthur’s family office, Maelstrom