Two Quants and a Financial Planner

Practical Lessons from Ed Yardeni

9 snips
Jan 27, 2025
In an insightful conversation, the hosts explore Ed Yardeni's data-driven market predictions for 2023-24, emphasizing the importance of independent thinking. They discuss why traditional recession indicators failed this time, highlighting the value of labor market data. Yardeni's 'Roaring 2020s' thesis showcases the optimistic outlook for growth driven by technology. Practical investment wisdom includes a focus on quality dividend-yielding stocks and the significance of maintaining a skeptical approach to market consensus.
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ADVICE

Challenge Consensus

  • Challenge the market consensus, as it's frequently incorrect.
  • Consider the opposing viewpoint to gain a more balanced perspective.
INSIGHT

Market Cycles: Not a Clock

  • Market cycles don't follow a rigid, predictable clock-like sequence.
  • Unforeseen events can disrupt these cycles, causing unexpected jumps and hiccups.
ANECDOTE

The Garden Set Anecdote

  • Ed Yardeni's wife bought a garden set in May 2022 because it was the last one in stock.
  • This anecdote, combined with supply chain issues, informed his inflation prediction.
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