
UBS On-Air: Market Moves
Top of the Morning: ‘POTUS 47 Series: Latest on tariffs, the economic and market impact’
Apr 3, 2025
Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas at UBS Chief Investment Office, shares his expertise on the recent tariff announcements by the Trump administration. He discusses the nuanced impacts of increased tariffs on China and how they may affect the global economy. Reiman emphasizes the importance of adaptive strategies for managing portfolios during these turbulent times and the implications of market volatility. His insights on high-quality bonds and navigating economic uncertainty provide invaluable guidance for investors looking to thrive amidst change.
17:43
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Quick takeaways
- The Trump administration's escalating tariff strategy aims to generate revenue and address trade imbalances, especially affecting imports from China.
- Global market reactions indicate investor anxiety over economic impacts, highlighting the importance of portfolio management during volatility with a focus on quality assets.
Deep dives
Tariff Strategy Overview
The Trump administration's tariff strategy aims to significantly increase import tariffs to generate revenue and address trade imbalances, particularly with China. Initially, the effective tariff rate was very low at 1.5% when Trump took office, which increased to approximately 3% by 2020. With recent announcements, it is estimated that the effective tariff rate could rise to about 25%, targeting countries with surpluses or existing high tariffs. This approach may lead to increased customs duties but risks damaging import activity and the broader economy if sustained for long periods.
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