

CSTG 208: The Missing Bullets of Leadership with Andrew Hasty
7 snips Apr 15, 2025
Andrew Hasty takes listeners on a fascinating journey from World War II bombers to modern leadership insights. He highlights the dangers of survivorship bias, urging leaders to look beyond visible successes. The discussion emphasizes the importance of recognizing intangible qualities like resilience and grit in team members. By acknowledging these often-overlooked attributes, leaders can cultivate a stronger team culture and identify future leaders who may otherwise be missed in a numbers-driven approach.
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WWII B-17 Armor Anecdote
- During WWII, military analyzed bullet holes on returning B-17 planes to determine armor placement.
- Statistician Abraham Wald advised armoring areas with no bullet holes to protect planes that didn't return.
Survivorship Bias Insight
- Survivorship bias causes flawed decisions by only analyzing successful returns or visible outcomes.
- Missing data, like unseen failures, must be considered to avoid biased conclusions.
Look Beyond KPIs
- Evaluate team members beyond KPIs to include behaviors that drive true performance change.
- Consider grit, resilience, and everyday efforts that stats don't capture when assessing people.