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HousingWire Daily
Logan Mohtashami on getting 11% home-price growth in 2025
Dec 5, 2024
Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst renowned for his deep insights into housing market trends, discusses the forecasted 11% rise in home prices for 2025. He explores factors like low inventory and rising equity that are shaping this prediction. The conversation dives into past trends influenced by COVID-19, affordability issues, and the implications of mortgage rates on buyer behavior. Mohtashami also emphasizes the correlation between the labor market and mortgage rates, revealing how economic stability could alter the housing landscape.
35:17
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Quick takeaways
- The forecast predicts a notable 10.8% increase in national home prices by 2025, driven by low inventory and high homeowner equity.
- Despite current market volatility and high mortgage rates, demographic trends suggest increasing demand for housing could influence future price trajectories.
Deep dives
Home Price Growth Forecast for 2025
A prominent forecast anticipates a significant national home price increase of 10.8% by 2025. This outlook emphasizes that low total inventory levels and high nested equity among homeowners contribute to this predicted growth. Analysts note that the current housing market is characterized by historically low sales and inventory, which can drive prices upward, especially if demand increases. Such a forecast, while considered an outlier, aligns with patterns seen in past housing booms where low sales conditions can create rapid price growth.
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