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Global Security Briefing

The Imminent End of the Ukraine War?

Nov 27, 2024
Mark Galeotti, a leading expert on Russia, and Andriy Zagorodnyuk, the former Ukrainian Minister of Defence, dive into the potential end of the Ukraine conflict amidst shifting U.S. dynamics. They discuss Trump's controversial claim of resolving the war swiftly and Ukraine's strategic concerns surrounding a potential ceasefire. The conversation highlights the complexities of U.S. foreign policy, the need for robust Western support, and the risks that a pause in fighting could pose. Additionally, they explore forming a global coalition to reinforce Ukraine's position in the geopolitical landscape.
49:11

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Speculation surrounding diplomatic negotiations to end the Ukraine war has grown with Trump's election victory raising hopes for a quicker resolution.
  • The US's role in military assistance for Ukraine remains crucial, heavily influencing the conflict's trajectory and potential outcomes of any ceasefire.

Deep dives

The Potential for Diplomatic Negotiations

There is an increasing speculation regarding the possibility of diplomatic negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, especially with the transition of the US administration. President Trump has expressed confidence in his ability to resolve the conflict quickly, which has prompted Ukrainian President Zelensky to suggest that a resolution may come sooner under Trump's leadership. However, skepticism looms over whether genuine negotiations can occur, with many in Ukraine believing that Russia will not engage in good faith talks. The current battlefield dynamics, characterized by Russia's gradual advancements and Ukraine's manpower issues, complicate the potential negotiating landscape as they could influence the terms and strength of each side's position.

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