How is U.S. industrial policy affecting actual climatetech investment?
Oct 12, 2023
auto_awesome
This podcast explores the impact of U.S. industrial policies on climatetech investments. It covers sectors experiencing accelerated trends, catalyzed growth, and declining despite incentives. The discussion includes regional manufacturing investment clustering, the growth of blue hydrogen, and the influence of legislation on the EV supply chain and heat pump adoption.
52:20
AI Summary
AI Chapters
Episode notes
auto_awesome
Podcast summary created with Snipd AI
Quick takeaways
Clean energy investment in the United States has shown positive growth, with a focus on manufacturing clean energy technology and deploying it for energy production and industrial use.
Geographically, manufacturing hubs for clean energy technologies are forming in different regions of the United States, creating opportunities for economic growth and job creation.
Deep dives
Investment in Clean Energy
Over the past year, there has been significant investment in clean energy solutions in the United States. With $213 billion invested, a 37% increase from the previous year, clean energy is playing a substantial role in the economy. The investment has been focused on manufacturing clean energy technology and deploying it for energy production and industrial use. Solar and storage, as well as electric vehicle (EV) sales, have seen continued growth, while wind investment has declined. The emerging technologies of carbon management, hydrogen production, and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) have also attracted investment, with $80 billion dedicated to these areas. Overall, the investment in clean energy has increased over the past year, indicating a positive trend towards a cleaner and more sustainable future.
Geographic Trends in Clean Energy Manufacturing
Geographically, clean energy manufacturing hubs are forming in different regions of the United States. Traditional auto hubs such as Tennessee, Kentucky, Michigan, and South Carolina have seen significant EV manufacturing investments. However, a new manufacturing hub for EVs is emerging in the Southwest, particularly in Arizona and Nevada, driven by clean tech innovators from California. The critical mineral supply base in the Southwest is also attracting investment. These regional manufacturing hubs are creating opportunities for economic growth and job creation in clean energy technologies.
Impact of Legislation on Wind and Heat Pumps
While the investment in clean energy has shown positive growth, there are challenges in certain sectors. Wind investment has declined, despite incentives provided by legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the extension of the Production Tax Credit. Factors such as transmission and citing constraints, along with higher interest rates, have contributed to the decline. Heat pump installations have also faced challenges, with overall market sales being flat or slightly decreasing. The IRA's $2,000 tax credit has helped heat pumps gain market share compared to furnaces, but it has not been sufficient to overcome macroeconomic factors and construction labor costs that affect the overall HVAC market.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, continued investment in clean energy is crucial to drive the transition towards a more sustainable future. The investment trends and growth in manufacturing, emerging climate technologies, and solar and EV markets indicate positive momentum. However, challenges remain in sectors like wind and heat pumps, which require further efforts to overcome barriers and accelerate growth. Policy support and incentives need to be coupled with addressing permitting, transmission, and macroeconomic factors to fully realize the potential of clean energy investment. By focusing on these areas, the United States can continue to drive the clean energy transition and achieve long-term sustainability goals.
In climatetech circles, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) was a big deal. The expectation was that, combined with other parts of U.S. industrial policy like the CHIPS and Science Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, the IRA would transform the American economy and ultimately slash U.S. carbon emissions.
We can’t see the impact on carbon emissions yet, but we can measure the initial effects on the economy. So how’s it going so far?
In this episode, Shayle talks to Trevor Houser, partner at the Rhodium Group, about the organization’s new Clean Investment Monitor, a database of climatetech investments developed with the MIT Center on Energy and Environmental Policy Research. Trevor highlights three different categories of policy impacts:
Sectors where policy accelerated existing trends, like solar deployment and EV sales.
Sectors where policy catalyzed new growth that probably would not have happened otherwise, like in manufacturing, hydrogen, carbon management, and sustainable aviation fuels.
Sectors that are declining despite policy incentives, like the deployment of wind and heat pumps.
They discuss the drivers behind these trends and cover topics like:
The regional clustering of manufacturing investment and new geographic hubs, like the Southwest.
The surprising growth in hydrogen made from steam methane reforming, also known as blue hydrogen.
Canary: Made in the USA: Ramping up clean energy manufacturing
Canary: US offshore wind pushes ahead despite industry turmoil
Sign up for Latitude Media’s Frontier Forum on January 29, featuring Crux CEO Alfred Johnson, who will break down the budding market for clean energy tax credits. We’ll dissect current transactions and pricing, compare buyer and seller expectations, and look at where the market is headed in 2024.
Catalyst is brought to you by Sungrow. Now in more than 150 countries, Sungrow’s solutions include inverters for utility-scale, commercial and industrial solar, plus energy storage systems. Learn more at us.sungrowpower.com.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode