Eye For Iran Iran on the brink of a revolution: is this the moment? | Eye for Iran | EP 85
Jan 9, 2026
In this insightful discussion, guests include Tom Tugendhat, a former UK Security Minister with expertise in defense, and Norman Roule, a former CIA official focused on Iran. They explore the growing protests in Iran and whether they signify a revolutionary tipping point. The conversation highlights the regime's endgame scenario, economic woes fueling unrest, and the implications of diminished international support. Jason Brodsky and David Patrikarakos emphasize the unique nature of current protests and the necessity for a unifying alternative to achieve meaningful change.
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Regime In Its Endgame
- Tom Tugendhat argues the current unrest is the regime's endgame driven by young Iranians refusing four decades of repression.
- He warns the key question is whether security forces arrange a peaceful transfer or commit mass killings as the system collapses.
Economic Pain Broadens The Protest Base
- Economic collapse and everyday hardships have widened protests beyond urban youth to include bazaaris, rural areas and middle classes.
- Tugendhat notes inflation, water shortages and corruption make the unrest nationwide and unsustainable for the regime.
Elites Preparing To Flee
- Tugendhat reports insiders and elites are preparing escape routes and contacting foreign intelligence for refuge.
- He cautions junior enforcers will bear blame if elites flee while ordering repression.
