Episode 283 | Autonomy Markets: Waymo's Big Week and Elon's Promises

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Waymo’s mapping expansion to San Francisco International Airport (SFO), their continued Bay Area expansion and Tesla’s ambitious plans for launching a FSD Unsupervised. 

As Waymo begins mapping SFO, there are still hurdles that the company has to overcome before offering commercial service, as their current permit prohibits transporting commercial goods or passengers. When Waymo applies for their ground transportation operating permit, The Teamsters are expected to oppose Waymo’s permit application it in an effort to block the service. Despite this potential challenge, we expect commercial operations at the airport to begin by this summer, as there is a clear economic benefit to San Francisco’s economy. 

Down at Giga in Austin, Elon Musk held an all-hands meeting where he outlined his bold plans for FSD Unsupervised and the company’s upcoming robotaxi service. At some point, Tesla will “crack” full self-driving and when they do, Waymo will have their first true competitor.

Episode Chapters

0:00 Waymo Begins Mapping SFO

9:14 Waymo Airport Predictions (SFO, SJC, LAX)

11:13 Waymo Nashville Prediction

13:16 Waymo / Hyundai Prediction

14:38 Waymo’s Continued Bay Area Expansion 

19:13 Uber, Lyft and the Growth of Waymo

21:04 Waymo Zeekr Robotaxis

26:43 Waymo on Uber in Austin

30:59 Could Waymo be Expanding to the UK?

34:16 Tesla Unsupervised 

35:43 Tesla All-Hands Meeting

37:36 Tesla CPUC Permit

38:47 NVIDIA GTC

42:04 Truck OEMs

46:57 Unforced Error of The Week

48:51 Next Week

Recorded on Friday, March 21, 2025

--------

About The Road to Autonomy

The Road to Autonomy® is a leading source of data, insight and commentary on autonomous vehicles/trucks and the emerging autonomy economy™.

Autonomy is transforming industries and creating an entirely new economy that we call the autonomy economy™. The Road to Autonomy provides advisory and market intelligence services that helps you better understand the market and stay ahead of what’s coming next. To learn more, say hello (at) roadtoautonomy.com.

Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter: https://www.roadtoautonomy.com/autonomy-economy/

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.