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Russian Roulette
The War in Ukraine in 2025 with Michael Kofman
Dec 19, 2024
Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and military expert on Russia and Ukraine, shares insights on the future of the war in Ukraine. He discusses the shifting military dynamics, including advancements in artillery and drone technology. Delving into the geopolitical landscape, Kofman emphasizes the impact of U.S. support and Europe’s challenges. The conversation also touches on negotiation dynamics and the significance of January 20th, pondering the implications of potential energy sanctions on Russia as the conflict evolves.
01:02:50
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Quick takeaways
- Russia has maintained a material advantage in Ukraine due to effective manpower recruitment and ongoing military engagements around strategic locations.
- Putin's regime faces scrutiny as economic challenges arise from the war, yet he may perceive continuation of conflict as a more stable option than cessation.
Deep dives
Current Battlefield Dynamics in Ukraine
The situation on the battlefield in Ukraine has evolved negatively, with Russia currently holding a material advantage, particularly in manpower. While Ukraine has made significant strides with drone production and had previously narrowed the artillery disparity, Russia's air power and persistent recruitment efforts have strengthened its position. Major engagements are taking place south and around key locations like Pokrovsk, with Russian forces making steady advancements. Despite the current fragility of the front, the overall assessment indicates the need for course correction on both sides to avoid future collapse.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode