a16z Podcast: Real Estate -- Ownership, Asset, Economy
Jan 13, 2017
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In this discussion, Alex Rampell, a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz; Eddie Lim, CEO of Point; and Atif Mian, an economics professor at Princeton, explore the complexities of homeownership in America. They highlight how current financing models can leave homeowners trapped in debt. The conversation delves into innovative solutions like fractional equity, aimed at making home ownership more accessible. They also discuss the role of policy in shaping a fairer housing market and the potential for new investment strategies to empower both homeowners and investors.
Alternative ownership models like partial equity can provide homeowners with financial flexibility without the burdens of significant debt.
Innovative financial products that align risk between homeowners and investors could stabilize the housing market and support economic health.
Deep dives
Rethinking Homeownership Models
Traditional homeownership typically requires either renting, resulting in no ownership stake, or purchasing a home outright, which often involves taking on significant debt through a mortgage. This binary model can tie up a substantial amount of a homeowner's net worth into a single asset, which is contrary to sound diversification principles. Alternative ownership models, such as partial equity ownership, allow homeowners to sell shares of their home equity, making homeownership more affordable and freeing up capital for repairs or investments. For example, companies like Point enable homeowners to monetize a portion of their home's value without the burden of extensive debt.
Impact of the Housing Market on the Economy
The health of the housing market directly influences the broader economy, as evidenced during the 2007-2008 financial crisis when plunging home values resulted in widespread economic repercussions. Homeowners burdened with underwater mortgages reduced their spending, leading to extensive layoffs and further economic decline. This cyclical relationship between housing and economic stability highlights the necessity of innovative financial instruments that can mitigate such downturns. By developing products that share risk among various market participants, potential negative feedback loops could be softened, leading to a healthier economic environment overall.
Alternative Financial Products in the Housing Market
Current mortgage systems often leave homeowners vulnerable, especially in downturns where they carry all the risk associated with their debt-based contracts. By exploring equity-based solutions, homeowners can opt for arrangements that align their financial interests with those of investors; this can create a more sustainable economic relationship. For instance, shared responsibility mortgages tie monthly payments to the fluctuations in local housing values, providing relief during economic downturns by adjusting what homeowners owe in parallel with property values. Such innovations can significantly reduce the likelihood of foreclosures and stabilize the market.
The Need for Regulatory Reform
The current housing finance market is heavily regulated, which often favors traditional debt products and limits the ability of new equity-based alternatives to emerge. Existing regulations, such as tax incentives for mortgage interest payments, create an uneven playing field that may not necessarily serve a healthier economic interest. There is a call for a reevaluation of these regulations to better accommodate innovative financial products that promote risk sharing and consumer protection. Shifting towards policies that support diversified investment opportunities in residential real estate could both empower consumers and stabilize the financial market.
The largest asset class in the United States is owner-occupied real estate, yet options for homeowners accessing this are very binary right now: either own 100% of your home (with a mortgage), or own nothing. And when people do “own”, that ownership is often skewed by debt. Of course, debt works out great for some, given their risk profiles and potential upside (if the house keeps appreciating); but the downside risk and costs are disproportionately borne by the homeowner. And millennials can’t even enter the housing market in the first place.
So how can technology help address a system skewed by debt financing, by letting homeowners sell fractions of equity to unlock wealth without necessarily borrowing against their homes? How can such new approaches help homeowners and financers better align risk and incentives, and unlock a whole new asset class for all kinds of investors? How can they help avoid mortgage crises around the world, and the macroeconomic impact of reduced spending, lost jobs, and more? And finally, what is the role of policy here … especially since the government is de facto subsidizer of certain home finance products over others.
We discuss all this and more in this episode of the a16z Podcast, featuring general partner Alex Rampell; CEO & co-founder of Point, Eddie Lim; and Atif Mian, professor of economics and public affairs at Princeton University who also co-authored (with Amir Sufi) the book House of Debt: How They (and You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We Can Prevent It from Happening Again — in conversation with deal and investing team partner Angela Strange.
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