Bloomberg Businessweek

Payrolls at US Companies Fall by Most Since 2023, ADP Says

19 snips
Dec 3, 2025
Stuart Paul, a Bloomberg Economics U.S. and Canada economist, discusses recent ADP data indicating significant job losses and its implications for Fed policy. Scott Sanborn, CEO of LendingClub, shares insights into their unique business model focusing on middle-income customers and home improvement loans. Herman Chan, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, provides context on regional banking trends amidst the evolving labor market. Together, they explore the balance between economic downturns and strategic financial initiatives in an uncertain climate.
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INSIGHT

Labor Market Weakness Raises Fed Concerns

  • ADP showed private payrolls fell 32,000 in November, the worst since early 2023 and below expectations.
  • Stuart Paul says this heightens concerns about a faster labor-market deterioration before the Fed meeting.
INSIGHT

December Cut Likely, Dots May Remain Hawkish

  • Stuart Paul expects a 25bp Fed cut in December as likely and broad-based among voters.
  • He warns the dot plot may show divided views and higher 2026 dots from nonvoting participants.
INSIGHT

Markets Give Green Light To Potential Fed Nominee

  • Markets reacted positively to Kevin Hassett as a potential Fed chair nominee.
  • Stuart Paul notes market approval often matters more to the White House than private concerns.
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