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US companies shed payrolls in November by the most since early 2023, adding to concerns about a more pronounced weakening in the labor market.
Private-sector payrolls decreased by 32,000, according to ADP Research data released Wednesday. Payrolls have now fallen four times in the last six months. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 10,000 gain.
Wednesday’s weak ADP report risks heightening concerns of a more rapid deterioration in the labor market ahead of the Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year next week. It could hold more sway than usual as one of the few up-to-date reports officials will have by then, as the shutdown delayed the government’s November jobs report.
Policymakers have been torn as to whether they’ll cut interest rates for a third straight meeting as they attempt to balance the slowdown in the job market with still-elevated inflation. Investors, however, widely expect the Fed to lower borrowing costs next week.
Today's show features:
- Bloomberg Economics US and Canada Economist Stuart Paul on the latest ADP jobs data and near-term expectations for Federal Reserve leadership and policy, and Bloomberg News Consumer Team Leader Emily Cohn on earnings from Macy’s and Dollar Tree, as well as the health of the US consumer
- Scott Sanborn, Chief Executive Officer of LendingClub, and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst for US Regional Banks Herman Chan, on the company’s expansion into home improvement financing and the outlook for US monetary policy
- Amy Rubenstein, CEO of Clear Investment Group, on the distressed real estate market
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