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Run the Numbers

Red Flags & Big Wins: Lucas Swisher on What Makes Coatue Say Yes (or No) to an Investment

Mar 20, 2025
Lucas Swisher, Co-Lead of Growth Investing and Software Investing at Coatue, shares valuable insights from one of tech's top investment firms. He discusses Coatue's evolution from hedge fund to venture capital powerhouse and their unique approach to balancing short-term and long-term investments. Lucas highlights the importance of data-driven decision-making using their Mosaic platform, and stresses the significance of evaluating sustainability in software companies. He also reveals the red flags investors often overlook and the qualities to look for in growth stage partners.
55:01

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Coatue's evolution from a public-focused hedge fund to a multifaceted venture capital firm highlights its adaptability to changing market dynamics.
  • The concentration of value among a small number of companies underscores the importance of targeted investments in high-potential firms over broad diversification.

Deep dives

Concentration in the Unicorn Economy

Analysis of unicorn companies reveals a significant concentration of market cap, with 60% attributed to the top 20 companies and 50% to the top three. This indicates that the greatest returns and growth potential exist within these leading firms, suggesting a focused investment strategy centered on these high-value entities. Investors aiming for substantial gains must prioritize involvement in these top-tier companies rather than diversifying broadly across the market. This strategy underscores the belief that extraordinary success is highly concentrated within a select group of businesses, emphasizing the need to identify and invest in these standout performers.

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