

Frontier of Automation expands beyond humans. AGI destroys all jobs within 5 to 20 years!
May 18, 2025
Discussing the frontier of automation, the podcast explores the increasing task complexity of machines, with AGI potentially surpassing human abilities in 5 to 20 years. It outlines scenarios where wages may peak and then collapse as productivity accelerates. The impact of automation on various industries and job categories is also examined, highlighting the potential for AI to reshape the future of work.
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Frontier of Automation
- The frontier of automation, or the task complexity machines can handle, is expanding.
- This expansion is driven by AI's increasing capabilities in both mechanical and cognitive tasks.
Bounded Human Capacity
- Human task complexity is likely bounded, meaning there's a limit to how complex a task a human can perform.
- Even if unbounded, few humans could compete with numerous, faster, and cheaper machines.
Automation Scenarios
- Three scenarios are outlined: business as usual, a 20-year baseline, and a 5-year aggressive timeline.
- These scenarios explore how automation's frontier might impact human abilities and jobs.