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Artificial Intelligence Masterclass
Frontier of Automation expands beyond humans. AGI destroys all jobs within 5 to 20 years!
Jan 22, 2025
Discussing the frontier of automation, the podcast explores the increasing task complexity of machines, with AGI potentially surpassing human abilities in 5 to 20 years. It outlines scenarios where wages may peak and then collapse as productivity accelerates. The impact of automation on various industries and job categories is also examined, highlighting the potential for AI to reshape the future of work.
25:08
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Quick takeaways
- AGI could surpass most human task abilities within 5 years, impacting sectors like law and medicine.
- Automation may lead to wage collapse and zero productivity, challenging the correlation between AI advancements and human output.
Deep dives
The Frontier of Automation and Task Complexity
Anton Kornek introduces the concept of the frontier of automation, which represents the task complexity that machines can achieve. This includes mechanical skills like navigation and cognitive tasks such as problem-solving. With the rise of AI, machines are handling increasingly complex tasks, expanding into new domains. Kornek discusses two potential scenarios: an unbounded distribution where humans keep pace with machine intelligence, and a likely bounded distribution where human task complexity has limits.
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