Bet The Process NBA with ESPN Writer Kevin Pelton
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Apr 23, 2025 Kevin Pelton, an ESPN writer specializing in NBA analytics, joins to dissect the current NBA landscape. He shares insights on playoff predictions, focusing on the tactical shift towards increased three-point attempts. The discussion highlights how trades, like the Luka deal, reshape team dynamics and fan engagement. Pelton contrasts rising stars Jason Tatum and DeMar DeRozan, analyzing their roles in potential playoff success for the Celtics. Finally, he dives into predicted finals matchups, emphasizing key player performances that could determine the champion.
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NBA Three-Point Evolution Insights
- The NBA is not broken despite increased three-point shooting and shot clock changes.
- Fan interest remains high, partly due to new narratives like the Luka trade distracting from three-point controversies.
Luka Trade as Ultimate Heat Check
- The Luka Doncic trade reflects overconfidence fueled by past risky but ultimately successful moves.
- Success led to a "heat check" mindset where riskier decisions felt justified despite potential downsides.
Celtics' Three-Point Strategy Explained
- The Celtics' extreme three-point shooting primarily replaces long two-pointers to improve spacing and efficiency.
- This shift does not hugely increase variance but offers more upside via greater expected points per shot.